Transparency of the Federal Reserve, a Force of Stability or Volatility in Financial Markets Post 2008 and Prior to COVID-19?

Carolyne C. Soper; Monika K. Sywak

doi:10.18778/2391-6478.S1.2024.02

Authors

Carolyne C. Soper Department of Economics, Central Connecticut State University New Britain https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9037-138X
Monika K. Sywak Department of Finance and Real Estate Villanova, Villanova University https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3885-0532

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18778/2391-6478.S1.2024.02

Keywords:

Federal Open Market Committee, transparency, Central Bank, monetary policy, financial markets, volatility, market efficiency

Abstract

The purpose of this article is to analyze how the Central Bank of the United States, the Federal Reserve’s decision to provide greater transparency after the Financial Crisis of 2008 impacted the volatility in financial markets. This study uses five Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Indices as a proxy for overall market volatility and attempts to capture their deviances from expected returns. The event dates identified are when the United States Federal Reserve met and released their “summary of economic predictions”.

The methodology deployed uses an event study framework on daily financial market data from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting days, to determine how an increased availability of information impacted financial markets in the period of January 2008 – January 2020.

The results of the empirical analysis do not reveal abnormal returns pre or post the event dates. This finding suggests that the FOMC announcements did not lead to significant abnormal returns of the analyzed assets.

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