Long-term Sustainability Of Public Finance In The Central And Eastern EU Member States

Authors

  • Tomasz Uryszek University of Łódź, Faculty of Economics and Sociology, Institute of Finance, Department of Public Finance

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1515/cer-2015-0028

Keywords:

public debt, primary net lending, sustainability

Abstract

The main goal of this article is to investigate the level of long-term sustainability of public finance in the Central and Eastern EU Member States. This aim is accompanied by the following hypothesis: an inability to generate primary surpluses and significantly growing public debt volumes prevent the attainment of sustainability in the area of public finance. The research method is based on GDP and public debt growth rates, as well as on the values of discounted primary fiscal balances at the actual and structural level. The research period covers the years 2000-2014. Data were taken from Eurostat, the European Commission's Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs and the European Central Bank.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Baglioni A., Cherubini U. (1993), Intertemporal budget constraint and public debt sustainability: the case of Italy, ‘Applied Economics’, Vol. 25, Issue 2. doi: 10.1080/00036849300000033
Google Scholar

Barro R. J. (1974), Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?, ‘Journal of Political Economy’, Vol. 82, Issue 6. doi: 10.1086/260266
Google Scholar

Barro R. J. (1989), The Ricardian Approach to Budget Deficits, ‘Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 3, Issue 2. doi: 10.1257/jep.3.2.37
Google Scholar

Cyclical Adjustment of Budget Balances (2013), European Commission, Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs.
Google Scholar

Denis C., Mc Morrow K., Röger W. (2002), Production function approach to calculating potential growth and output gaps - estimates for the EU Member States and the US, European Commission, Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs, ‘Economic Papers’, no. 176.
Google Scholar

Fan J., Arghyrou M. G. (2013), UK Fiscal Policy Sustainability, 1955-2006, The Manchester School, Vol. 81, Issue 6. DOI: . doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9957.2012.02319.x
Google Scholar

Gali J. (2013), Notes for a New Guide to Keynes (I): Wages, Aggregate Demand, and Employment, ‘Journal of the European Economic Association’, Vol. 11, Issue 5. DOI: . doi: 10.1111/jeea.12032
Google Scholar

Gevorkyan A. V. (2010), Fiscal Policy in Transition Economies: Opportunities for Sustainable Development, ‘Proceedings of the Northeast Business & Economics Association’.
Google Scholar

Hall R. E. (2014), Fiscal Stability of High-Debt Nations under Volatile Economic Conditions, ‘German Economic Review’, Vol. 15, Issue 1. doi: 10.1111/geer.12025
Google Scholar

Heller P. S. (2003), Who Will Pay? Coping with Aging Societies, Climate Change, and Other Long-Term Fiscal Challenges, International Monetary Fund.
Google Scholar

Józefiak C., Krajewski P., Mackiewicz M. (2006), Deficyt budżetowy. Przyczyny i metody ograniczenia, PWE, Warszawa.
Google Scholar

Kwiatkowski E. (2002), Bezrobocie. Podstawy teoretyczne, PWN, Warszawa.
Google Scholar

Laffargue J-P. (2009), Intergenerational Transfers and the Stability of Public Debt with Short- Lived Governments, ‘Mathematical Population Studies’, Vol. 16, Issue 1. doi: 10.1080/08898480802619686
Google Scholar

Lindbeck A. & Weibull J. W. (1986), Intergenerational Aspects of Public Transfers, Borrowing and Debt, ‘Scandinavian Journal of Economics’, Vol. 88, Issue 1. doi: 10.2307/3440288
Google Scholar

Martins-da-Rocha V-F., Vailakis Y. (2012), On Ponzi games in infinite horizon collateralized economies with default penalties, ‘Annals of Finance’, Vol. 8, Issue 4. DOI: . doi: 10.1007/s10436-012-0209-y
Google Scholar

Miles D., Cerny A. (2006), Risk, return and portfolio allocation under alternative pension systems with incomplete and imperfect financial markets, ‘Economic Journal’, Vol. 116, Issue 511. DOI: . doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2006.01091.x
Google Scholar

Minea A. & Villieu P. (2010), Endogenous growth, government debt and budgetary regimes: A Corrigendum, ‘Journal of Macroeconomics’, Vol. 32, Issue 2. DOI: . doi: 10.1016/S0164-0704(00)00136-1
Google Scholar

Molendowski E., Stanek P. (2012), Globalny kryzys finansowo-gospodarczy i strefy euro a sytuacja fiskalna nowych państw członkowskich (UE-10), ‘Acta Universitatis Lodziensis Folia Oeconomica”, No. 273.
Google Scholar

Neck R., Sturm J-E. (2008), Sustainability of Public Debt, Cambridge, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Massachusetts.
Google Scholar

Pastor J., Villagomez A. (2007), The structural budget balance: a preliminary estimation for Mexico, ‘Applied Economics’, Vol. 39, Issue 12. doi: 10.1080/00036840500447856
Google Scholar

Qin D., Cagas M. A., Ducanes G., Magtibay-Ramos N., Quising P. (2006), Empirical assessment of sustainability and feasibility of government debt: The Philippines case. ‘Journal of Asian Economics’, Vol. 17, Issue 1. DOI: . doi: 10.1016/j.asieco.2005.12.003
Google Scholar

Rowley C. K., Shughart W. F., Tollison R.D. (eds.) (2002), The Economics of Budget Deficits, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham.
Google Scholar

Slavin R. (2013), Nassau County, N.Y., Passes Budget with 8.1% Structural Deficit, ‘Bond Buyer’, 30 October.
Google Scholar

Socol A-G. (2013), Romania's road to Euro zone. From structural balance to structural balance corrected for absorption, ‘Theoretical & Applied Economics’, Vol. 20, Issue 2.
Google Scholar

Sterks, C. G. M. (1984), The Structural Budget Deficit as an Instrument of Fiscal Policy, ‘De Economist’, Vol. 132, Issue 2. doi: 10.1007/BF02380298
Google Scholar

Uryszek T. (2014), Międzypokoleniowa redystrybucja długu publicznego na przykładzie krajów Unii Europejskiej, ‘Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu’, no. 330.
Google Scholar

Uryszek T. (2012), Modele zarządzania długiem publicznym a ryzyko refinansowania w krajach Unii Europejskiej, [in:] Danuta Kopycińska (ed.), Wyzwania ekonomiczne XXI wieku, ZAPOL, Szczecin.
Google Scholar

Uryszek T. (2011), Saldo pierwotne a stabilność sektora finansów publicznych w wybranych krajach Unii Europejskiej, ‘Prace i Materiały Wydziału Zarządzania Uniwersytetu Gdańskiego’, no. 4(4).
Google Scholar

Wigger B. U. (2009), A note on public debt, tax-exempt bonds, and Ponzi games, ‘Journal of Macroeconomics’, Vol. 31, Issue 3. DOI: . doi: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2008.07.003
Google Scholar

Williams D. W., Onochie J. (2013), The Rube Goldberg Machine of Budget Implementation, or Is There a Structural Deficit in the New York City Budget?, ‘Public Budgeting & Finance’, Vol. 33, Issue 4.
Google Scholar

Yuhua Q. (2006), Structural Deficits and the Politics of Balancing the Budget: the Case of Missouri FY 2004 Budget, ‘Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting & Financial Management’, Vol. 18, Issue 3.
Google Scholar

Downloads

Published

2015-12-17

How to Cite

Uryszek, T. (2015). Long-term Sustainability Of Public Finance In The Central And Eastern EU Member States. Comparative Economic Research. Central and Eastern Europe, 18(4), 47–61. https://doi.org/10.1515/cer-2015-0028

Issue

Section

Articles