Dynamic Linkages between Social Expenditures and Economic Growth: the Most Important Conclusions for Central European Countries

Tuncer Govdeli; Esra Karakuş Umar

doi:10.18778/1508-2008.24.28

Autor

Tuncer Govdeli Assoc. Prof., Oltu Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Ataturk Oltu Yerleşkesi, Yusuf Ziyabey Mahallesi, Sanayi Caddesi, Erzurum, Turkey https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6600-8684
Esra Karakuş Umar Asst. Prof. Dr. Oltu Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Ataturk Oltu Yerleşkesi, Yusuf Ziyabey Mahallesi, Sanayi Caddesi, Erzurum, Turkey https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1764-9394

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18778/1508-2008.24.28

Słowa kluczowe:

wydatki socjalne, wzrost gospodarczy, ekonomia polityczna, państwa Europy Środkowej, dane panelowe

Abstrakt

Rola państwa w systemie neoliberalnym jest omawiana w ramach koncepcji opracowanych dla wydatków społecznych. W związku z tym pytanie, czy państwo powinno pozostawać bierne, czy też udzielać obywatelom potrzebnego wsparcia, ukształtowało piśmiennictwo dotyczące zagadnienia wydatków socjalnych. Uważa się, że wzrost wydatków socjalnych wpływa na wydatki publiczne, a wydatki publiczne mogą pośrednio powodować deficyty budżetowe. Ponadto mówi się, że w okresach wzrostu gospodarczego następuje spadek wydatków socjalnych. Wszystko to wskazuje, że teoria mówiąca, że dla realizacji wzrostu gospodarczego państwo potrzebuje zarówno producentów, jak i konsumentów, została zepchnięty na dalszy plan. Analizy relacji między wydatkami socjalnymi a wzrostem gospodarczym są argumentami potwierdzającymi słuszność tego stwierdzenia.

Celem niniejszego opracowania jest empiryczna analiza długookresowego związku między wzrostem gospodarczym a wydatkami socjalnymi ośmiu państw Europy Środkowej oraz związku przyczynowego dla lat 1999 i 2019. Za pomocą badań empirycznych ustalono związek kointegracji między wzrostem gospodarczym a wydatkami socjalnymi. Na podstawie wyników analizy przyczynowości stwierdzono, że istnieje dwukierunkowa zależność między wzrostem gospodarczym a wydatkami socjalnymi. Sugestie dla polityki są podane w końcowej części artykułu.

Pobrania

Brak dostępnych danych do wyświetlenia.

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