State-owned Banks and Profitability in Central and Eastern Europe: Testing the State-owned Banks Advantage Hypothesis

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18778/1508-2008.29.14

Keywords:

banking sector, state-owned banks, nationalisation, banks’ profitability, Central and Eastern Europe

Abstract

This paper presents and tests an original state-owned banks advantage hypothesis, according to which the nationalisation of a part of the banking sector may positively influence the financial results and reduce risks associated with banking activity. The hypothesis was tested using a model comparing three groups of banks: state-owned banks, foreign owned banks, and domestic privately owned banks. The estimation of model parameters was carried out using a fixed-effects panel data analysis for banks based in Central and Eastern European countries over the period 2014–2020. Based on the models for ROA and, separately, ROE, a statistically significant negative relation was observed in the returns generated by state-owned banks compared to private domestic and foreign banks. The results also indicate a higher business risk for state-owned banks, measured by the level of non-performing loans, which is likely to be related to involvement in projects that are not always profitable but often involve higher credit risk. Therefore, we argue that elements of a country’s economic or social policies matter when conducting business but negatively affect the performance of state-owned banks. The results of the model also demonstrate that a bank’s market size negatively affects its performance.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Alizadeh Janvisloo, M., Muhammad, J. (2013), Non-Performing Loans Sensitivity to Macro Variables: Panel Evidence from Malaysian Commercial Banks, “American Journal of Economics”, 3 (5C), pp. 16–21, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/269695901_Non-Performing_Loans_Sensitivity_to_Macro_Variables_Panel_Evidence_from_Malaysian_Commercial_Banks (accessed: 10.09.2023).

Bai, H., Ba, S., Huang, W., Hu, W. (2020), Expected government support and bank risk-taking: Evidence from China, “Finance Research Letters”, 36 (C), 101328, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2019.101328

Belousova, V., Karminsky, A., Myachin N., Kozyr, I. (2021), Bank Ownership and Efficiency of Russian Banks, “Emerging Markets Finance and Trade”, 57 (10), pp. 2870–2887, https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2019.1668764

Bhattacharyya, A., Lovell C.A.K., Sahay, P. (1997), The impact of liberalization on the productive efficiency of Indian commercial banks, “European Journal of Operational Research”, 98 (2), pp. 332–345, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0377-2217(96)00351-7

Blundell, R., Matyas, L. (1992), Panel data analysis. An introductory overview, “Structural Change and Economic Dynamics”, 3 (2), pp. 291–299, https://doi.org/10.1016/0954-349X(92)90008-T

Bojāre, K., Romānova, I. (2017), The Factors Affecting the Profitability of Banks: The Case of Latvia, “European Research Studies Journal”, 20 (15), pp. 905–919, https://doi.org/10.35808/ersj/753

Bonin, J.P., Hasan, I., Wachtel, P. (2005), Bank performance, efficiency, and ownership in transition countries, “Journal of Banking and Finance”, 29 (1), pp. 31–53, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2004.06.015

Boubakri, N., Saffar, W. (2019), State Ownership and Debt Choice: Evidence from Privatization, “Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis”, 54 (3), pp. 1313–1346, https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022109018000881

Brei, M., Schclarek, A. (2013), Public bank lending in times of crisis, “Journal of Financial Stability”, 9 (4), pp. 820–830, http://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2013.01.002

Bresson, G., Hsiao, C., Pirotte, A. (2006), Heteroskedasticity and random coefficient model on panel data, “Working Papers ERMES”, 0601, University Paris 2, Paris.

Cho, H., Kalinowski, T. (2010), Bank Nationalization, Restructuring and Reprivatization: The Case of Korea since the Asian Financial Crisis, “Korea Observer”, 41 (1), pp. 1–30.

Cornett, M.M., Guo, L., Khaksari, S., Tehranian, H. (2010), The impact of state ownership on performance differences in privately-owned versus state-owned banks: An international comparison, “Journal of Financial Intermediation”, 19 (1), pp. 74–94, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfi.2008.09.005

Darvas, Z., Schoenmaker, D., Veron, N. (2016), Reforms to the European Union Financial Supervisory and Regulatory Architecture and their implications for Asia, “ADBI Working Paper”, 615, https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.2893060

Davidovic, M., Uzelac, O., Zelenovic, V. (2019), Efficiency dynamics of the Croatian banking industry: DEA investigation, “Economic Research – Ekonomska Istraživanja”, 32 (1), pp. 33–49, https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2018.1545596

Davydenko, N., Boiko, S., Cherniavska, O., Nehrey, M. (2023), Analysis of the Impact of State-Owned Banks on the Sustainability of Public Finances, “Economies”, 11 (9), 229, https://doi.org/10.3390/economies11090229

Deloitte (2020), CEE banks facing challenging times. Economic turbulence to boost consolidation, https://web.archive.org/web/20210812111935/https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/ce/Documents/finance/MA_Banking_study_2020_digital.pdf (accessed: 10.09.2023).

Doan, A.-T., Lin, K.-L., Doong, S.-C. (2020), State-controlled banks and income smoothing. Do politics matter? “The North American Journal of Economics and Finance”, 51, 101057, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2019.101057

Domanski, D. (2005), Foreign banks in emerging market economies: changing players, changing issues, “BIS Quarterly Review”, December, pp. 69–81.

Dumitriu, R., Stefanescu, R., Nistor, C. (2012), State-Owned Banks from Romania, “SSRN Electronic Journal”, https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2165040

Epstein, R.A., Rhodes, M. (2014), International in life, national in death? Banking nationalism on the road to Banking Union, “KFG Working Paper Series”, 61, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-413148 (accessed: 16.10.2023).

European Central Bank (2015), Financial Stability Review, https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/fsr/financialstabilityreview201505.en.pdf (accessed: 16.10.2023).

Fang, Y., Hasan, I., Marton, K. (2011), Bank efficiency in South‐Eastern Europe, “Economics of Transition”, 19 (3), pp. 495–520, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0351.2011.00420.x

Fekri, A., Shawtari, M. (2018), Ownership type, bank models, and bank performance: the case of the Yemeni banking sector, “International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management”, 67 (8), pp. 1271–1289, https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPPM-01-2018-0029

Gul, S., Irshad, F., Zaman, K. (2011), Factors Affecting Bank Profitability in Pakistan, “Romanian Economic Journal”, 14 (39), pp. 61–87.

Han, X., Epetia, M.C.F., Cheng, Y. (2021), “Subsidies” or “taxes”? Corporate credit misallocation induced by the nexus of state-owned enterprises and state-owned banks, “Journal of Asian Economics”, 76, 101346, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2021.101346

Haque, F., Brown, K. (2017), Bank ownership, regulation and efficiency: Perspectives from the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Region, “International Review of Economics and Finance”, 47, pp. 273–293, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2016.10.015

Hočevar, M. (2021), The Crisis of 2008 and the Rise of the Slovenian Consolidation State, “Družboslovna Revija”, 58 (2), pp. 2–48, https://doi.org/10.51936/tip.58.2.305-321

Iannotta, G., Nocera, G., Sironi, A. (2013), The impact of government ownership on bank risk, “Journal of Financial Intermediation”, 22 (2), pp. 152–176, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfi.2012.11.002

Ismiyanti, F., Rahman, A., Mahadwartha, P.A. (2018), Do foreign and state banks take more risk?, “Banks and Bank Systems”, 13 (4), pp. 96–102, http://doi.org/10.21511/bbs.13(4).2018.09

Iwanicz-Drozdowska, M., Kurowski, Ł., Witkowski, B. (2024), Resolution and depositors’ trust: empirical analysis of three resolution cases in Poland, “Qualitative Research in Financial Markets”, 16 (2), pp. 239–265, https://doi.org/10.1108/QRFM-06-2022-0113

Iwanicz-Drozdowska, M., Smaga, P., Witkowski, B. (2017), Role of foreign capital in stability of banking sectors in CESEE countries, “Finance a úvěr – Czech Journal of Economics and Finance”, 67 (6), pp. 492–511.

Jackowicz, K., Kowalewski, O., Kozłowski, Ł. (2013), The influence of political factors on commercial banks in Central European countries, “Journal of Financial Stability”, 9 (4), pp. 759–777, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2012.08.001

Jia, C. (2009), The effect of ownership on the prudential behavior of banks – The case of China, “Journal of Banking and Finance”, 33 (1), pp. 77–87, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.03.017

Kamarudin, F., Sufian, F., Nassir, A.M. (2016), Global financial crisis, ownership and bank profit efficiency in Bangladesh’s state-owned and private commercial banks, “Contaduría y Administración”, 61 (4), pp. 705–745, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cya.2016.07.006

Koleśnik, J. (2014), Podział banków jako skuteczna metoda redukcji ryzyka too big to fail, “Ekonomia i Zarządzanie”, 6 (3), pp. 64–75, https://yadda.icm.edu.pl/baztech/element/bwmeta1.element.baztech-b2d19170-e391-4512-8dd7-58536df28a2c/c/kolesnik_podzial_3_2014.pdf.pdf (accessed: 16.10.2023).

Koleśnik, J. (2019), Uwarunkowania funkcjonowania systemów gwarantowania depozytów i ich wpływ na zachowania deponentów, “Zeszyty Naukowe Polityki Europejskie, Finanse i Marketing”, 21 (70), pp. 94–103, https://doi.org/10.22630/PEFIM.2019.21.70.8

Koroleva, E., Jigeer, S., Miao, A., Skhvediani, A. (2021), Determinants Affecting Profitability of State-Owned Commercial Banks: Case Study of China, “Risks”, 9 (8), 150, https://doi.org/10.3390/risks9080150

Kozińska, M. (2018), Resolution tools in the opinion of EU resolution authorities, “Finanse: czasopismo Komitetu Nauk o Finansach PAN”, 1 (11), pp. 68–88, https://doi.org/10.24425/finanse.2018.125392

Krasovskis, D., Limanskis, A., Pancenko, E. (2016), Measuring competitiveness of banks in Latvia, “Copernican Journal of Finance & Accounting”, 5 (2), pp. 125–147, https://scispace.com/pdf/measuring-competitiveness-of-banks-in-latvia-i529232uzv.pdf (accessed: 16.10.2023).

Laeven, L., Ratnovski, L., Tong, H. (2016), Bank size, capital, and systemic risk: Some international evidence, “Journal of Banking and Finance”, 69 (S1), pp. 25–34, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.06.022

Lapteacru, I. (2017), Market power and risk of Central and Eastern European banks: Does more powerful mean safer?, “Economic Modelling”, 63, pp. 46–59, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2017.01.022

Lassoued, N., Sassi, H., Attia, M.B.R. (2016), The impact of state and foreign ownership on banking risk: Evidence from the MENA countries, “Research in International Business and Finance”, 36, pp. 167–178, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2015.09.014

Lee, A., Hooy, C. (2020), Banks’ Risk-taking and State Ownership: Evidence from Asian Emerging Markets, “Malaysian Journal of Economic Studies”, 57 (1), pp. 59–80, https://doi.org/10.22452/MJES.vol57no1.4

Lipton, D., Sachs, J., Fischer, S., Kornai, J. (1990), Creating a Market Economy in Eastern Europe: The Case of Poland, “Brookings Papers on Economic Activity”, 1, pp. 75–147, https://doi.org/10.2307/2534526

Maudos, J., Vives, X. (2019), Competition Policy in Banking in the European Union, “Review of Industrial Organization”, 55 (1), pp. 27–46, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11151-019-09687-5

Mazzucato, M., Penna, C.C.R. (2016), Beyond market failures: the market creating and shaping roles of state investment banks, “Journal of Economic Policy Reform”, 19 (4), pp. 305–326, https://doi.org/10.1080/17487870.2016.1216416

Méró, K., Piroska, D. (2016), Banking Union and banking nationalism – Explaining opt-out choices of Hungary, Poland, and the Czech Republic, “Policy and Society”, 35 (3), pp. 215–226, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polsoc.2016.10.001

Pak, O. (2019), The impact of state ownership and business models on bank stability: Empirical evidence from the Eurasian Economic Union, “‘The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance”, 71, pp. 161–175, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2018.07.008

Panizza, U. (2023), State-owned commercial banks, “Journal of Economic Policy Reform”, 26 (1), pp. 44–66, https://doi.org/10.1080/17487870.2022.2076678

Patev, P., Lyroudi, K., Kanaryan, N.K. (2003), The Day of the Week Effect in the Central European Transition Stock Markets, “Tsenov Academy of Economics Finance and Credit Working Paper”, 03–06, https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.434501

Peng, M.W., Bruton, G.D., Stan, C.V., Huang, Y. (2016), Theories of the (state-owned) firm, “Asia Pacific Journal of Management”, 33 (2), pp. 293–317, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10490-016-9462-3

Piroska, D., Podvršič, A. (2020), New European Banking Governance and Crisis of Democracy: Bank Restructuring and Privatization in Slovenia, “New Political Economy”, 25 (6), pp. 992–1006, https://doi.org/10.1080/13563467.2019.1669548

Pyka, I., Nocoń, A. (2018), Dylematy pomiaru i oceny procesu repolonizacji banków w Polsce, “Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu”, 531, pp. 404–418, http://doi.org/10.15611/pn.2018.531.36

Pyka, I., Pyka, J. (2017), Przesłanki i dylematy repolonizacji banków krajowych, “Zeszyty Naukowe. Organizacja i Zarządzanie / Politechnika Śląska”, 108, pp. 349–361.

Relaño, F. (2011), Maximizing social return in the banking sector, “Corporate Governance: The International Journal of Business in Society”, 11 (3), pp. 274–284, https://doi.org/10.1108/14720701111138698

Rosalina, D.A., Nugraha, N. (2019), The effects of ownership structure on bank profitability, [in:] A. Gafar Abdullah, M. Arief, Ch. Furqon, V. Gaffar, H. Mulyani, Y. Setiawan, A. Sofia (eds.), Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Economics, Business, Entrepreneurship, and Finance (ICEBEF 2018), Atlantis Press, pp. 42–46, https://doi.org/10.2991/icebef-18.2019.10

Řepková, I. (2014), Efficiency of the Czech Banking Sector Employing the DEA Window Analysis Approach, “Procedia Economics and Finance”, 12, pp. 587–596, https://doi.org/10.1016/S2212-5671(14)00383-9

Sengupta, A., De, S. (2020), Assessing Performance of Banks in India Fifty Years After Nationalization, Springer, Singapore, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-4435-4

Stančić, P., Čupić, M., Obradović, V. (2014), Influence of board and ownership structure on bank profitability: evidence from South East Europe, “Economic Research–Ekonomska Istraživanja”, 27 (1), pp. 573–589, https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2014.970450

Voszka, E. (2018), Nationalisation in Hungary in the Post-Crisis Years: A Specific Twist on a European Trend?, “Europe-Asia Studies”, 70 (8), pp. 1281–1302, https://doi.org/10.1080/09668136.2018.1457137

Węcławski, J. (2015), Przekształcenia polskiego systemu bankowego w latach 1989–2014, “Annales Universitatis Mariae Curie-Skłodowska. Sectio H. Oeconomia”, 49 (1), pp. 189–199, https://doi.org/10.17951/h.2015.49.1.189

Yaffee, R. (2003), A primer for panel data analysis, “Connect: Information Technology at NYU”, 8 (3), pp. 1–11.

Zaleska, M. (2007), Charakterystyka systemu bankowego – uwarunkowania instytucjonalne, [in:] M. Zaleska (ed.), Współczesna bankowość, vol. I, Difin, Warszawa, pp. 21–32.

Zhang, D., Cai, J., Dickinson, D.G., Kutan, A. (2016), Non-performing loans, moral hazard and regulation of the Chinese commercial banking system, “Journal of Banking and Finance”, 63, pp. 48–60, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.11.010

Zoli, E. (2001), Cost and Effectiveness of Banking Sector Restructuring in TRANSITION economies, “IMF Working Paper”, 2001 (157), https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451857498.001

Downloads

Published

2026-06-24

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Koleśnik, Jan, and Filip Lisak. 2026. “State-Owned Banks and Profitability in Central and Eastern Europe: Testing the State-Owned Banks Advantage Hypothesis”. Comparative Economic Research. Central and Eastern Europe 29 (2): 127-50. https://doi.org/10.18778/1508-2008.29.14.