Strategic Planning For The Development Of Ukrainian Agriculture In The Face Of Climate Change

Anna Ostapenko

doi:10.1515/cer-2016-0012

Authors

Anna Ostapenko Ukrainian National Academy of Sciences, Institute for Economics and Forecasting

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1515/cer-2016-0012

Keywords:

strategic planning, agriculture, climate change, predictive model, Ukraine

Abstract

The essence of the “strategic planning” is explored and the peculiarities of strategic planning in the agricultural sector are defined. Global climate change as a factor stimulating the formation of new approaches to strategic planning of agricultural development is considered, and the impact of climate change on the agricultural sector of Ukraine is evaluated. A predictive model of changes in the parameters of agricultural production under expected climate change conditions is constructed, and organizational, socio-economical and environmental components of the strategy of agricultural development are outlined and the conceptual bases for improvement of strategic planning for the development of the agricultural sector in the face of climate change are substantiated.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Adger W.N (2006), Vulnerability, ‘Global Environmental Change’, no. 16 (3). Available at: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378006000422.

Borodina О., Kyryzyuk S., Lopatynska A. (2013), To the issue of assessing effects of global climate change on the development of agricultural sector, [in:] Integrated modeling of food, energy and water security management for sustainable social, economic and environmental developments, Kyiv, Ukraine.

Cohen J., Cohen P., West S.G., & Aiken L.S. (2002), Applied multiple regression/correlation analysis for the behavioral sciences (3rd ed.). Psychology Press.

Cryosphere Glossary (2013), Education center of National Snow and Ice Data Center, University of Colorado Boulder. Available at: http://nsidc.org/arcticmet/glossary/climate_change.html.

Ford J.D., Keskitalo E., Smith T. et al. (2010), Case study and analogue methodologies in climate change vulnerability research, ‘Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Climate change’, no. 1(3).

Glossary of Climate Change Terms (2013), United States Environmental Protection Agency. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/glossary.html.

IPCC (2007), Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability, [in]: Parry M.L., Canziani O.F., Palutikof J.P., van der Linden P.J., Hanson C.E. (eds) Contribution of working group II to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

Leiserowitz A. (2006), Climate change, risk perception, and policy preferences: The role of affect, imagery, and values, ‘Climatic Change’, no. 77 (1–2).

Lopatynska A. (2011), Conceptual approaches to strategic planning, ‘Chernivtsi University Scientific Herald’, Chernivtsi National University, Ukraine, issue 592.

Nelson M., and J. Vucetich (2009), On advocacy by environmental scientists: What, whether, why, and how, ‘Conservation Biology’, no. 23.

NeuralTools: Guide to Using (2009). Palisade Corporation, NY USA.

Pielke R.A. (2007), The honest broker: Making sense of science in policy and politics, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Tucker J., Daoud M., Oates N. et al. (2015), Social vulnerability in three high-poverty climate change hot spots: What does the climate change literature tell us?, ‘Regional Environ Change’, no. 15.

UNFCCC (2012), United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Available at: http://unfccc.int/2860.php.

Wilke A.K., Morton L.W. (2015), Climatologists’ patterns of conveying climate science to the agricultural community, ‘Agriculture and Human Values’, no. 32.