Porównanie makroekonomicznych efektów zwiększenia wydatków na obronność w Polsce i w Niemczech
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18778/1508-2008.26.29Słowa kluczowe:
wydatki na obronność, wydatki rządowe, polityka fiskalnaAbstrakt
Celem artykułu jest porównanie makroekonomicznych efektów wydatków na obronność w gospodarce polskiej i niemieckiej. Oszacowanie tych efektów ma szczególne znaczenie w kontekście silnego wzrostu wydatków na obronność w Polsce i Niemczech w wyniku wybuchu wojny w Ukrainie. Badanie oparte jest na dynamicznym stochastycznym modelu równowagi ogólnej, który uwzględnia zarówno mechanizmy popytowe, jak i podażowe. Funkcje reakcji na impuls obliczone na podstawie modeli oszacowanych dla gospodarki polskiej i niemieckiej ukazują, że oddziaływanie wydatków obronnych na PKB jest znacznie silniejsze w Polsce niż w Niemczech. Ponadto uzyskane wyniki empiryczne wskazują, że w polskiej gospodarce wydatki na obronność w większym stopniu niż w gospodarce niemieckiej stymulują również zatrudnienie i konsumpcję.
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