Konwergencja czynników wpływających na rynek produktów mleczarskich: analiza porównawcza krajów Unii Europejskiej
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18778/1508-2008.26.15Słowa kluczowe:
mleko, produkty mleczarskie, Unia Europejska, producenci mleka, ludność, popyt, podażAbstrakt
Unia Europejska jest dużym producentem mleka i przetworów mlecznych, a jednocześnie znaczącym rynkiem konsumpcyjnym, który charakteryzuje się efektywnym popytem i znacząco wpływa na rynki innych produktów spożywczych. Głównymi producentami mleka w UE są Niemcy, Francja, Polska, Holandia, Włochy i Hiszpania. Intensywne procesy migracyjne przyczyniają się do dodatkowego popytu na produkty spożywcze, w szczególności produkty mleczne. Dało to podstawę do budowy i kalkulacji modelu dynamicznego produkcji mleczarskiej, eksportu produktów mleczarskich oraz współistnienia z populacją jako głównym konsumentem w krajach UE–27 i Wielkiej Brytanii w latach 2004–2020.
Uzyskane zależności umożliwiły analizę wpływu czynnika wzrostu populacji na wzrost wielkości produkcji. Jednocześnie zbadano zależność i wpływ eksportu produktów mleczarskich na wzrost wielkości produkcji produktów mleczarskich w krajach UE–27 i Wielkiej Brytanii.
Wyniki przeprowadzonego modelowania matematycznego wskazują na unikalne możliwości rozwoju sektora mleczarskiego poszczególnych krajów UE–27: Czech, Holandii, Polski. Kraje te mają racjonalny stosunek wpływu czynnika wzrostu liczby ludności na wzrost wolumenu produkcji mleczarskiej oraz optymalny wpływ eksportu produktów mleczarskich na wzrost wolumenu produkcji mleczarskiej.
Pobrania
Bibliografia
Armstrong, G., Farley, H., Gray, J., Durkin, M. (2005), Marketing health‐enhancing foods: implications from the dairy sector, “Marketing Intelligence & Planning”, 23 (7), pp. 705–719, https://doi.org/10.1108/02634500510630221
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/02634500510630221
Augère‑Granier, M. (2018), The EU dairy sector: Main features, challenges and prospects, https://policycommons.net/artifacts/1335407/the-eu-dairy-sector/1941893/ (accessed: 20.12.2021).
Google Scholar
Bailey, R., Dodd, K., Goldman, J., Gahche, J., Dwyer, J., Moshfegh, A., Picciano, M. (2010), Estimation of Total Usual Calcium and Vitamin D Intakes in the United States, “The Journal of Nutrition”, 140 (4), pp. 817–822, https://doi.org/10.3945/jn.109.118539
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3945/jn.109.118539
Baldini, C., Gardoni, D., Guarino, M. (2017), A critical review of the recent evolution of Life Cycle Assessment applied to milk production, “Journal of Cleaner Production”, 140, pp. 421–435, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.06.078
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.06.078
Barbier, E. (2004), Explaining Agricultural Land Expansion and Deforestation in Developing Countries, “American Journal of Agricultural Economics”, 86 (5), pp. 1347–1353, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0002-9092.2004.00688.x
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0002-9092.2004.00688.x
Bauman, D., Mather, I., Wall, R., Lock, A. (2006), Major Advances Associated with the Biosynthesis of Milk, “Journal of Dairy Science”, 89 (4), pp. 1235–1243, https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(06)72192-0
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(06)72192-0
Bayoumi, T., Coe, D.T., Helpman, E. (1996), R&D spillovers and global growth, “Journal of International Economics”, 47 (2), pp. 399–428, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(98)00018‑X
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(98)00018-X
Bechthold, A., Boeing, H., Schwedhelm, C., Hoffmann, G., Knüppel, S., Iqbal, K., Schwingshackl, L. (2019), Food groups and risk of coronary heart disease, stroke and heart failure: a systematic review and dose‑response meta‑analysis of prospective studies, “Critical Reviews in Food Science and Nutrition”, 59 (7), pp. 1071–1090, https://doi.org/10.1080/10408398.2017.1392288
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10408398.2017.1392288
Berger, S. (2005), How we compete: What companies around the world are doing to make it in today’s global economy, Currency Doubleday, New York.
Google Scholar
Black, R., Williams, S., Jones, I., Goulding, A. (2002), Children who avoid drinking cow milk have low dietary calcium intakes and poor bone health, “The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition”, 76 (3), pp. 675–680, https://doi.org/10.1093/ajcn/76.3.675
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/ajcn/76.3.675
Blasko, B. (2011), World importance and present tendencies of dairy sector, “Applied Studies in Agribusiness and Commerce”, 5 (3–4), pp. 119–123, https://doi.org/10.19041/APSTRACT/2011/3-4/20
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.19041/APSTRACT/2011/3-4/20
Blayney, D. (2004), The Changing Landscape of U.S. Milk Production, https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/262277/ (accessed: 19.12.2021).
Google Scholar
Bojnec, Š., Fertő, I. (2019), Agri‑food comparative advantages in the European Union countries by value chains before and after enlargement towards the East, “Agraarteadus: Journal of Agricultural Science”, 30 (2), pp. 1–9, https://doi.org/10.15159/jas.19.10
Google Scholar
Boland, M., Singh, H. (eds.) (2019), Milk proteins: from expression to food, Academic Press, Cambridge.
Google Scholar
Bouamra‑Mechemache, Z., Jongeneel, R., Réquillart, V. (2008), Impact of a gradual increase in milk quotas on the EU dairy sector, “European Review of Agricultural Economics”, 35 (4), pp. 461–491, https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbn044
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbn044
Bourlakis, M., Maglaras, G., Gallear, D., Fotopoulos, C. (2014), Examining sustainability performance in the supply chain: The case of the Greek dairy sector, “Industrial Marketing Management”, 43 (1), pp. 56–66, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indmarman.2013.08.002
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indmarman.2013.08.002
Capalbo, S., Denny, M. (1986), Testing Long‐Run Productivity Models for the Canadian and U.S. Agricultural Sectors, “American Journal of Agricultural Economics”, 68 (3), pp. 615–625, https://doi.org/10.2307/1241545
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1241545
Chantreuil, F., Hanrahan, K., Leeuwen, M. (eds.) (2011), The future of EU agricultural markets by AGMEMOD, Springer Science & Business Media, Dordrecht–Heidelberg–London–New York, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-2291-0
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-2291-0
Cox, T., Chavas, J. (2001), An Interregional Analysis of Price Discrimination and Domestic Policy Reform in the U.S. Dairy Sector, “American Journal of Agricultural Economics”, 83 (1), pp. 89–106, https://doi.org/10.1111/0002-9092.00139
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/0002-9092.00139
Dawson, P., Hubbard, L. (1987), Management and size economies in the England and Wales dairy sector, “Journal of Agricultural Economics”, 38 (1), pp. 27–38, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-9552.1987.tb01022.x
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-9552.1987.tb01022.x
De Boer, I. (2003), Environmental impact assessment of conventional and organic milk production, “Livestock Production Science”, 80 (1–2), pp. 69–77, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-6226(02)00322-6
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-6226(02)00322-6
Delgado, C. (2003), Rising Consumption of Meat and Milk in Developing Countries Has Created a New Food Revolution, “The Journal of Nutrition”, 133, p. 3907S–3910S, https://doi.org/10.1093/jn/133.11.3907S
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/jn/133.11.3907S
Demir, Ö., Kalayci, S., Ertugan, A. (2020), Applied analysis of international trade theories for automotive and agricultural sectors in terms of companies declaring concordat, “Revista Argentina de Clínica Psicológica”, 29 (5), pp. 350–359.
Google Scholar
Dries, L., Swinnen, J.F. (2004), Foreign Direct Investment, Vertical Integration, and Local Suppliers: Evidence from the Polish Dairy Sector, “World Development”, 32 (9), pp. 1525–1544, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2004.05.004
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2004.05.004
Duncan, A., Teufel, N., Mekonnen, K., Singh, V.K., Bitew, A., Gebremedhin, B. (2013), Dairy intensification in developing countries: effects of market quality on farm‑level feeding and breeding practices, “Animal: An International Journal of Animal Bioscience”, 7 (12), pp. 2054–2062, https://doi.org/10.1017/S1751731113001602
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1751731113001602
Eskelinen, H., Hannibalsson, I., Malmberg, A., Maskell, P., Vatne, E. (2002), Competitiveness, Localised Learning And Regional Development. Specialization and Prosperity in Small Open Economies, Routledge, London, https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203030165
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203030165
Eurostat (2021a), Data Browser, https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/view/ilc_di03/default/table?lang=en (accessed: 19.12.2021).
Google Scholar
Eurostat (2021b), EU dairies increased production in 2020, https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-eurostat-news/-/ddn-20211118-1 (dostęp: 20.12.2021).
Google Scholar
Faye, B., Konuspayeva, G. (2012), The sustainability challenge to the dairy sector – The growing importance of non‑cattle milk production worldwide, “International Dairy Journal”, 24 (2), pp. 50–56, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.idairyj.2011.12.011
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.idairyj.2011.12.011
Fox, P. (2003), The major constituents of milk, [in:] G. Smit (ed.), Dairy Processing. Improving Quality, Woodhead Publishing Series in Food Science, Technology and Nutrition, CRC Press and Woodhead Publishing Limited, Boca Raton, pp. 5–41, https://doi.org/10.1533/9781855737075.1.5
Google Scholar
Franzoi, M., Niero, G., Penasa, M., Cassandro, M., De Marchi, M. (2018), Technical note: Development and validation of a new method for the quantification of soluble and micellar calcium, magnesium, and potassium in milk, “Journal of Dairy Science”, 101 (3), pp. 1883–1888, https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2017-13419
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2017-13419
Gerosa, S., Skoet, J. (2012), Milk availability: trends in production and demand and medium‑term outlook, “ESA Working Papers” 289000, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA), https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/faoaes/289000.html (accessed: 18.12.2021).
Google Scholar
Gilpin, R. (2020), The challenge of global capitalism: The World Economy in the 21st Century, Princeton University Press, Princeton, https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctv36zqhs
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctv36zqhs
Girma, K., Tilahun, Z., Haimanot, D. (2014), Review on milk safety with emphasis on its public health, “World Journal Dairy & Food Sciences”, 9 (2), pp. 166–183.
Google Scholar
Górska‑Warsewicz, H., Rejman, K., Laskowski, W., Czeczotko, M. (2019), Milk and Dairy Products and Their Nutritional Contribution to the Average Polish Diet, “Nutrients”, 11 (8), 1771, https://doi.org/10.3390/nu11081771
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/nu11081771
Grout, L., Baker, M.G., French, N., Hales, S. (2020), A Review of Potential Public Health Impacts Associated with the Global Dairy Sector, “GeoHealth”, 4 (2), e2019GH000213, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GH000213
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GH000213
Guzmán‑Luna, P., Mauricio‑Iglesias, M., Flysjö, A., Hospido, A. (2021), Analysing the interaction between the dairy sector and climate change from a life cycle perspective: a review, “Trends in Food Science & Technology”, 126, pp. 168–179, https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0924224421005252?via%3Dihub (accessed: 20.12.2021).
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tifs.2021.09.001
Henson, S., Traill, B. (1993), The demand for food safety: Market imperfections and the role of government, “Food Policy”, 18 (2), pp. 152–162, https://doi.org/10.1016/0306-9192(93)90023-5
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0306-9192(93)90023-5
Hill, J.P. (2017), Assessing the overall impact of dairy farming, [in:] J.P. Hill, Achieving sustainable production of milk, Vol. 2, Burleigh Dodds Science Publishing, Cambridge, pp. 325–348, https://doi.org/10.19103/AS.2016.0005.43
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.19103/AS.2016.0005.43
Jelen, P., Lutz, S. (1998), Functional milk and dairy products, [in:] G. Mazza (ed.), Functional Foods: Biochemical and Processing Aspects, CRC Press, Boca Raton, pp. 357–381, https://doi.org/10.1201/9781482278736
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1201/9781482278736
Kilkenny, M., Partridge, M. (2009), Export Sectors and Rural Development, “American Journal of Agricultural Economics”, 91 (4), pp. 910–929, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8276.2009.01320.x
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8276.2009.01320.x
Knips, V. (2005), Developing countries and the global dairy sector part I global overview, „PPLPI Working Paper”, No. 30.
Google Scholar
Kumar, A., Mishra, A.K., Saroj, S., Joshi, P. (2019), Impact of traditional versus modern dairy value chains on food security: Evidence from India’s dairy sector, “Food Policy”, 83, pp. 260–270, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2019.01.010
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2019.01.010
Kyrgiakos, L., Vlontzos, G., Pardalos, P. (2021), Ranking EU Agricultural Sectors under the Prism of Alternative Widths on Window DEA, “Energies”, 14 (4), 1021, https://doi.org/10.3390/en14041021
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en14041021
Landes, M., Cessna, J., Kuberka, L., Jones, K. (2017), India’s Dairy Sector: Structure, Performance, and Prospects, United States Department of Agriculture, Washington, https://www.ers.usda.gov/webdocs/outlooks/82639/ldpm-272-01.pdf?v=2655.9 (accessed: 17.12.2021).
Google Scholar
Liverman, D., Kapadia, K. (2012), Food Systems and the Global Environment, [in:] J. Ingram, P. Ericksen, D. Liverman (eds.), Food Security and Global Environmental Change, Routledge, London, pp. 23–44, https://doi.org/10.4324/9781849776615
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781849776615
Luhmann, H., Schaper, C., Theuvsen, L. (2016), Future‑oriented dairy farmers’ willingness to participate in a sustainability standard: Evidence from an empirical study in Germany, “International Journal on Food System Dynamics”, 7 (3), pp. 243–257, https://doi.org/10.18461/ijfsd.v7i3.735
Google Scholar
Mahmood, A., Nishat, M. (2004), Export Competitiveness and Comparative Advantage of Pakistan’s Non‑agricultural Production Sectors: Trends and Analysis, “The Pakistan Development Review”, 43, pp. 541–561, https://doi.org/10.30541/v43i4IIpp.541-561
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.30541/v43i4IIpp.541-561
Maijala, K. (2000), Cow milk and human development and well‑being, “Livestock Production Science”, 65 (1–2), pp. 1–18, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-6226(00)00194-9
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-6226(00)00194-9
Marchand, S., De Block, J., De Jonghe, V., Coorevits, A., Heyndrickx, M., Herman, L. (2012), Biofilm Formation in Milk Production and Processing Environments; Influence on Milk Quality and Safety, “Comprehensive Reviews in Food Science and Food Safety”, 11 (2), pp. 133–147, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1541-4337.2011.00183.x
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1541-4337.2011.00183.x
Marsden, T., Banks, J., Bristow, G. (2000), Food Supply Chain Approaches: Exploring their Role in Rural Development, “Sociologia Ruralis”, 40 (4), pp. 424–438, https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9523.00158
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9523.00158
Melo, J., Robinson, S. (1992), Productivity and externalities: models of export‑led growth, “Journal of International Trade & Economic Development”, 1 (1), pp. 41–68, https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199200000004
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199200000004
Mitchell, M. (1985), Agriculture and policy: methodology for the analysis of developing country agricultural sectors, Ithaca Press, London.
Google Scholar
Molenaar, J., Gorter, J., Heilbron, L., Simons, L., Vorley, B., Blackmore, E., Dallinger, J. (2015), Sustainable Sector Transformation How to Drive Sustainability Performance in Smallholder‑Dominated Agricultural Sectors?, Aidenvironment, New Foresight, IIED, Commissioned by IFC, Amsterdam.
Google Scholar
Muehlhoff, E., Bennett, A., McMahon, D. (2013), Milk and dairy products in human nutrition, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome.
Google Scholar
Nolan‑Clark, D., Neale, E., Probst, Y., Charlton, K., Tapsell, L. (2011), Consumers’ salient beliefs regarding dairy products in the functional food era: a qualitative study using concepts from the theory of planned behaviour, “BMC Public Health”, 11 (1), pp. 1–8, https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-11-843
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-11-843
Pappa, I., Illiopoulos, C., Massouras, T. (2019), On sustainability of a dairy sector in crisis, “International Journal on Food System Dynamics”, 10 (2), pp. 130–150.
Google Scholar
Pfeuffer, M., Watzl, B. (2018), Nutrition and health aspects of milk and dairy products and their ingredients, “Ernahrungs Umschau”, 65 (2), pp. 22–33.
Google Scholar
Pothoulaki, M., Chryssochoidis, G. (2009), Health claims: Consumers’ matters, “Journal of Functional Foods”, 1 (2), pp. 222–228, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jff.2009.01.012
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jff.2009.01.012
Putsenteilo, P. (2011), Organizational economic mechanism of sustainable development provision in beef cattle breeding, “Aktualni Problemy Ekonomiky”, 3 (117), pp. 80–86.
Google Scholar
Putsenteilo, P., Klapkiv, Y., Kostetskyi, Y. (2018), Modern challenges of agrarian business in Ukraine on the way to Europe, “Proceedings of the 2018 International Scientific Conference Economic Sciences for Agribusiness and Rural Economy”, 1, pp. 250–258, https://doi.org/10.22630/ESARE.2018.1.35
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.22630/ESARE.2018.1.35
Putsenteilo, P., Klapkiv, Y., Karpenko, V., Gvozdecka, I. (2020), The role of institutions in the development of agriculture, “Bulgarian Journal of Agricultural Science”, 26 (1), pp. 23–33.
Google Scholar
Qi, J., Wang, P. (2007), The Effect of FDI on Trade in Agricultural Sectors: Co‑integration Test Based on China Data from 1983 to 2004 [J], “Journal of Finance and Economics”, 2, pp. 101–108.
Google Scholar
Robbins, P. (2003), The impact of globalization on the agricultural sectors of East and Central African countrie, Vol. 1, International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Ibadan.
Google Scholar
Rosen, R., Digh, P., Phillips, C., Singer, M. (2000), Global literacies: Lessons on business leadership and national cultures, Simon and Schuster, New York.
Google Scholar
Rotz, l., Stout, R., Leytem, A., Feyereisen, G., Waldrip, H., Thoma, G., Holly, M., Bjorneberg, D., Baker, J., Vadas, P., Kleinman, P. (2021), Environmental assessment of United States dairy farms, “Journal of Cleaner Production”, 315, pp. 128–153, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.128153
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.128153
Rusk, F. (2019), Global dairy consumption growth to continue, https://ahdb.org.uk/news/global-dairy-consumption-growth-to-continue (accessed: 21.12.2021).
Google Scholar
Sadowski, A., Wojcieszak‑Zbierska, M.M., Beba, P. (2021), Territorial differences in agricultural investments co‑financed by the European Union in Poland, “Land Use Policy”, 100, 104934, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.104934
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.104934
Sääksjärvi, M., Holmlund, M., Tanskanen, N. (2009), Consumer knowledge of functional foods, “The International Review of Retail, Distribution and Consumer Research”, 19 (2), pp. 135–156, https://doi.org/10.1080/09593960903109469
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09593960903109469
Serra, T., Goodwin, B. (2003), Price transmission and asymmetric adjustment in the Spanish dairy sector, “Applied Economics”, 35 (18), pp. 1889–1899, https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840310001628774
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840310001628774
Stephens, E., Jones, A., Parsons, D. (2018), Agricultural systems research and global food security in the 21st century: An overview and roadmap for future opportunities, “Agricultural Systems”, 163, pp. 1–6, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.011
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.011
Thiele, S., Weiss, C. (2003), Consumer demand for food diversity: evidence for Germany, “Food Policy”, 28 (2), pp. 99–115, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0306-9192(02)00068-4
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0306-9192(02)00068-4
Wang, Z., Mao, Y., Gale, F. (2008), Chinese consumer demand for food safety attributes in milk products, “Food Policy”, 33 (1), pp. 27–36, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2007.05.006
Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2007.05.006
Yu, W., Elleby, C., Lind, K., Thomsen, M. (2017), Modeling the potential impacts of two BREXIT scenarios on the Danish agricultural sectors, Department of Food and Resource Economics, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen.
Google Scholar
Pobrania
Opublikowane
Jak cytować
Numer
Dział
Licencja
Utwór dostępny jest na licencji Creative Commons Uznanie autorstwa – Użycie niekomercyjne – Bez utworów zależnych 4.0 Międzynarodowe.
