The Role of Digital Services Trade Restrictiveness in Exports: Before and During COVID–19

Sri Indah Nikensari; Shanty Oktavilla; Navik Istikomah; Nindya Farah Dwi Puspitasari

doi:10.18778/1508-2008.27.06

Autor

Sri Indah Nikensari Universitas Negeri Jakarta, Jakarta, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0413-655X
Shanty Oktavilla Universitas Negeri Semarang, Semarang, Indonesia
Navik Istikomah Lecturer at Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia, Bandung, Indonesia
Nindya Farah Dwi Puspitasari Lecturer at Universitas Terbuka, Tangerang Selatan https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9327-2045

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18778/1508-2008.27.06

Słowa kluczowe:

ograniczenia w handlu usługami cyfrowymi, eksport, model grawitacyjny, otwartość na handel, pandemia COVID–19

Abstrakt

Technologia cyfrowa przeniknęła do różnych dziedzin, w tym handlu międzynarodowego. Niniejsze opracowanie ma na celu analizę wpływu barier w handlu usługami cyfrowymi/otwartości na handel tymi usługami na eksport przed pandemią COVID–19 (2015–2016) i w czasie pandemii (2019–2020). Na podstawie modelu Gravity wydaje się, że na eksport wpływa restrykcyjność handlu usługami cyfrowymi, w tym ograniczenia dotyczące infrastruktury i łączności (X1), ograniczenia dotyczące transakcji elektronicznych (X2) i pozostałe ograniczenia (X3). Do analizy danych z różnych krajów (17 krajów europejskich, 8 krajów azjatyckich i 3 krajów Ameryki Łacińskiej) pochodzących z baz danych statystycznych OECD wykorzystano równanie regresji danych panelowych. Wyboru krajów dokonano, opierając się na dostępności i jednorodności danych. Wyniki pokazały, że wpływ restrykcyjności handlu usługami cyfrowymi na eksport był niski przed pandemią i wzrósł w dobie pandemii. Przed pandemią obostrzenia w transakcjach elektronicznych miały słaby i negatywny wpływ na eksport, tymczasem w czasie pandemii wszystkie obostrzenia miały wpływ na eksport, z wyjątkiem pozostałych ograniczeń. W czasie pandemii ograniczenia dotyczące infrastruktury i łączności miały negatywny wpływ na ekstort. Natomiast ograniczenia dotyczące transakcji elektronicznych miały pozytywny wpływ na eksport ze względu na spadek globalnego eksportu i zmniejszenie przez kilka krajów ograniczeń dotyczących transakcji elektronicznych.

Pobrania

Brak dostępnych danych do wyświetlenia.

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