Analiza spektralna cykli koniunkturalnych krajów Grupy Wyszechrackiej
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1515/cer-2017-0012Słowa kluczowe:
cykle koniunkturalne, synchronizacja, analiza spektralna, transformata FourieraAbstrakt
W artykule zbadano właściwości cykli koniunkturalnych w krajach Grupy Wyszehradzkiej. Głównym celem jest identyfikacja cykli koniunkturalnych w tych państwach i analiza powiązań pomiędzy nimi. Autor wykorzystuje modyfikację transformaty Fouriera do estymacji amplitud i częstotliwości cykli. Pozwala ona na precyzyjniejsze oszacowanie charakterystyk cykli niż w tradycyjnym podejściu. Analiza cross-spektralna komponentów cyklicznych PKB dla Czech, Węgier, Polski i Słowacji umożliwiła ocenę stopnia synchronizacji cykli koniunkturalnych w tych krajach.
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