Modelling the Duration of the First Job Using Bayesian Accelerated Failure Time Models

Wioletta Grzenda

doi:10.18778/0208-6018.330.02

Autor

Wioletta Grzenda Warsaw School of Economics, Institute of Statistics and Demography, Event History and Multilevel Analysis Unit

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18778/0208-6018.330.02

Słowa kluczowe:

parametryczne modele przeżycia, modele AFT, podejście Bayesowskie, MCMC, zatrudnienie

Abstrakt

W niniejszym artykule poddano analizie czas trwania pierwszej pracy osób w wieku 18–30 lat. Celem badania jest znalezienie rozkładu, który najlepiej opisuje badane zjawisko. W modelowaniu wykorzystano modele przyspieszonej porażki AFT w ujęciu Bayesowskim. Wykorzystanie podejścia Bayesowskiego rozszerzyło dotychczasowe badania przez możliwość uwzględnienia w badaniu informacji a priori oraz umożliwiło porównywanie rozkładów parametrów modeli. Ponadto dało możliwość porównania mocy wyjaśniającej konkurencyjnych modeli na gruncie teorii Bayesowskiej. Z wykorzystaniem zaproponowanych metod porównano czas trwania pierwszej pracy dla kobiet i mężczyzn.

Pobrania

Brak dostępnych danych do wyświetlenia.

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