Deconstruction of the Planning Process in the 21st Century
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.2478/esrp-2013-0012Keywords:
foresight, planning process, processes re-engineeringAbstract
By increasing the changes in the last years of the second millennium, relying on the planning methods, which are based on forecasting, cannot meet the needs of management of countries at large scale. The heavy burden of uncertainties and emergence of interrupted and wild card events have changed the conditions in a way that future forecasting is not possible for planners. On the other hand, in regional and urban planning it is necessary to change the attitude from forecasting to foresight. Considering this, the paper attempts to introduce the approach of foresight as well as having a critical view of the current process of planning in foreseeing and future studies. Moreover, this study emphasizes the necessity of employing the foresight approach in the process of urban and regional studies.
Downloads
References
ERA (2002), The Potential of Regional Foresight, Final Report of the STRATA-ETAN Expert Group, European Research Area.
Google Scholar
Faludi, A. (1970), ‘The Planning Environment and the Meaning of Planning’, Regional Studies, 4 (1), pp. 1–9.
Google Scholar
Foren (2001), A Practical Guide to Regional Foresight, European Commision Research Directorate General, ESTRATA programme, December.
Google Scholar
Khazaee, S. (2007), Future Researching: Concepts and Needs, http://www.ayandehpajoohi.com/archive/00126.php
Google Scholar
Lingren, M. (2003), Scenario Planning: The Link between Future and Strategy, New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Google Scholar
Masumi-Ashkevari , H. (2008), Scientific Guidelines for Planning and Foresight, Tehran: Payam Press.
Google Scholar
Mobini-Dehkordi, A. (2008), Mega Dimes as Strategic Need for Offices Futures, Tehran: International Energy Institute.
Google Scholar
Myer, D. and KITSUSE, A. (2000), ‘Construction the Future in Planning: A Survey of Theories and Tools’, Journal of Planning Education and Research, 19 (3), pp. 221–231.
Google Scholar
Nazemi, A. (2007), Zone Foresight as Land Preparation, Tehran: Atinegar Idea Center.
Google Scholar
Nazemi-Ghadiri, A. (2006), Foresight from Concept to Running, Tehran: New Industries Center.
Google Scholar
Porter , A. L. (1991), Forecasting and Management of Technology, New York: Wiley.
Google Scholar
Schwartz, P. (2008), The Art of Future Vision, transl. A. Alizadeh, Defence Technology Science Foresight Centre.
Google Scholar
TWISS (1992), Forecasting for Technologist and Engineers: A Practical Guide for Better Dictions, London: Peregrines.
Google Scholar
Vahidi-Motlagh, V. (2007), Foresight from Future to Day, Tehran: Atinegar Idea Center.
Google Scholar
Voros, J. (2003), ‘A Generic Foresight Process Framework’, Foresight, 5 (3), pp. 10–21.
Google Scholar
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
