ZASTOSOWANIE MODELU GARCH (1.1) DO SZACOWANIA TRANSMISJI SZOKÓW NA RYNKU OBLIGACJI
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18778/0208-6018.314.07Słowa kluczowe:
zmienność, rynek obligacji skarbowych, spread kredytowy, model GARCHAbstrakt
Celem badania jest identyfikacja zmienności spreadu kredytowego obligacji w wybranych krajach europejskich, w czasie kryzysu finansów publicznych Grecji w latach 2010-2013 roku. W badaniu wykorzystano model GARCH (1.1). Szczególnym celem badania jest ustalenie: czy na rynku obligacji skarbowych mamy do czynienia z efektem zarażania? Analizę przeprowadzono w dwóch próbach: 1/ dla krajów Europy Środkowej i Wschodniej, reprezentowanej przez Czechy i Polskę, 2/ w krajach rozwiniętych - w Austrii i Francji.
Pobrania
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